It seems like a long time ago that large generalist carmakers
were taking up positions in top-of-the-range vehicle markets
where they would compete by acquiring great makes like Bugatti
or Jaguar and/or by launching brands and models that all targeted
the same customer base. Automotive headlines from the past
few months seem to indicate, however, that the quest for volume
has become topical again, based on the development of models
that can be produced at a low cost and sold at prices that,
up until two years ago, would hardly have been considered
compatible with today’s quality requirements.
In addition to Renault (which has started to collaborate
with Lada) Toyota and Daihatsu in India Fiat in Turkey, Volkswagen
and Nissan also seem to be seriously considering the idea
of developing models of this kind over the next 2/3 years.
Tata re-launched plans last May to build a $2,200 vehicle
in Communist West Bengal, whereas Chinese carmakers, after
expressing a desire to develop their own models plus the means
to export them to other markets (including mature ones), have
been hiring experienced designers or executives who used to
work at Rover or GM to achieve this goal. All in all, a host
of indicators accredit the idea that what we are witnessing,
on one hand, is a strong rise in automobile supply investments
leading to a relatively sharp break with past trends towards
technological sophistication, and, on the other hand, variability
in relative price levels that up until recently had appeared
irreversible.
In the Renault Group, the Dacia Logan is the entity driving
a trend that Fiat once attempted to pursue with the Palio.
From one month to the next, carmakers seem to be changing
how they perceive markets and their inherent growth and profit
opportunities. As indicated by the Logan experience, this
re-examination concerns first and foremost the so-called emerging
markets that people have discovered would probably emerge
more strongly if products were offered at prices making them
more accessible to a broader section of the population. This
also affects mature markets featuring, as some actors have
started to realise, opportunities for anyone capable of manufacturing
new vehicles to be accessed by household categories that up
until now have only been able to purchase used products, to
such an extent that growth in the overall stock of goods has
been synonymous with its ageing. In France last June for example,
Cetelem, a BNP-Paribas specialist financing subsidiary, structured
an 7-year automobile loan after noting that the average price
for the vehicles on which it provides acquisition funding
had risen by 33% between 1995 and 2005, from €14,000
to €19,000.
For GERPISA historians, sociologists, managers or economists
with an interest in the automobile, these trends offer a clear
incentive to focus on market-related issues, and on the way
in which the tools that industrialists develop to analyse,
create or exploit such issues translate into product policies
and commercial practices. Long neglected because of an emphasis
on analysing production and design practices, this dimension
of life in the automobile industry clearly merits greater
attention in future research.
This does not in any way mean that we should turn our backs
on our previous foci to concentrate solely now on these issues.
But as witnessed during our 14th conference, we do need to
show that we are capable of renewing our research orientations
even as we remain willing to work on questions that are theoretically
and intellectually stimulating but cover issues and questions
relevant to industrialists and the companies in whose name
they act.