Carmakers’ current strategic circumstances, whose drum
beat loudly all throughout the 2006 Paris Automobile Salon,
has once again led to demand for the sort of analysis which,
in view of the role that this industry plays and the uses
associated with it, would appear to legitimise active research
on such questions. There is a natural temptation for anyone
(including researchers like ourselves) witnessing these new
phases in the automobile industry’s history to seek
solutions that will enable all actors to overcome the kinds
of problems caused both by the saturation of mature markets
and by the chaotic expansion of emerging markets.
For GERPISA, whose DNA abounds with the need to continually
engage with the sorts of issues that become an object of widespread
public and media debate, a context of this ilk is destined
to become a dual source of dynamism. Our past work has given
us the legitimacy to participate in this debate and to prevent
media discourse from being monopolised by so-called experts
who are all the more willing to preach their “truths”
because since they function in blissful ignorance of the complexity
of the questions, and the variety of the responses, that the
automobile’s history offers us. Our frequent media appearances
have therefore been a cause for some initial satisfaction.
Looking towards the future, we note that the questions expressed
by the concept of “social demand” are both novel
and likely to be treated by means of a method whose validity
has been proven by GERPISA.
The real issue here is the changing context in which manufacturers
try to define and find outlets for the products they offer.
The history of the automobile, as indicated in many GERPISA
studies, teaches us that changes of this kind will be interpreted
and integrated in different ways by different firms. Even
if some succeed their adaptation drive better than others
do, this does not Necessarily mean that all practices will
align with the best ones. In other words, our ongoing and
in vivo work on these mutations, illuminated as always by
a re-examination of history, will attempt to identify (based
on what we think we know about firms’ previous history)
renewed modes for the profit strategy definitions and product
policies that are in the process of being written.
For this reason, and now more than ever, we will need to
qualify the contexts and above all gain a deeper understanding
of the forms that automobile demands can assume in industrialised
and/or emerging countries. This seems to be key to understanding
the highly unequal distribution of carmakers’ ostensible
aptitudes for (re)discovering the outlets they need but without
having to discount their products.
Amongst the other questions raised during the Salon, some
very stimulating remarks were made by Patrick Blain, Renault’s
Deputy MD for Trade, who expects a bi-modal demand in Europe
with some vehicles retailing for €40,000 and others for
less than €10,000. These two “dynamic segments”
will cause “generalists” a few serious problems.
Similarly, in the emerging markets, PSA’s example shows
that questions pertaining to the conditions in which old platforms
are given a new life through the design of adapted product
ranges hark back, in other forms, to problems of a similar
nature. This bolsters our belief that turning this dimension
into one our major foci might not only be stimulating intellectually
but also create a certain resonance amongst a number of major
actors.